Posts Tagged ‘Commodities’

Stock Market Analysis: Markets Hold Around Key Levels

Thursday, February 9th, 2012

* US stock markets continued to melt-up overnight, as traders waited for the finalisation of an agreement among Greek politicians on austerity reforms ahead of the country’s second international bailout.
* European stock markets eased overnight after opening higher, as the Greek debt bailout negotiations linger longer.
* Asian markets rose yesterday, as traders followed positive leads from their overseas counterparts.
* Commodities prices traded higher. Gold prices eased to around $US1,734 while crude-oil closed up around $US99.

The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4230, ending up 0.1% (or 2 points) at 4,259. The key levels for our index today are 4220 to 4280.

Aussie shares are expected to open flat today.  Traders should be looking to protect recent profits, as investors wait for some conclusive news on the Greek debt talks and for the Chinese CPI figures out today.  The Aussie reporting season heats up.   Markets held on to recent gains in the US and European markets overnight.

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

US Markets

US stock markets continued to melt-up overnight, as traders waited for the finialisation of an agreement among Greek politicians on austerity reforms ahead of the country’s second international bailout. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged upwards to its highest high since May 2008.  In the broader markets the S&P500 and Nasdaq closed higher again. Energy stocks weighed, as crude-oil prices pulled back from their early gains. 

The Greek debate continued as international lenders have asked Greece to come up with EUR3.2 billion in spending cuts for 2012 alone, demanding a reduction in private-sector minimum wages, additional cutbacks in government spending, the layoffs for some 15,000 civil servants in the Greek public sector in 2012, plus steep cuts in supplemental pensions. Understandably this is proving a hard sell to the Greek population. 

Cisco, the IT bell-weather, reported after market beating forecasts on the back of stronger corporate revenues.  

Commodities remained well supported with copper rising 0.9% around a 5-month high, crude-oil finished higher, but gold prices gave back some of their recent gains, while the US dollar eased against the euro and gained on the yen.  

Most of the company groups that make up the S&P index traded higher, with Materials up 0.1%, Energy down -0.3%, Financials up 0.8%, Industrials up 0.2%, Technology up 0.6%, while Consumer Staples were up 0.2%.

The Dow Jones closed up 0.1% (or 6 points) at 12,883, the S&P 500 index was up 0.2% (or 3 points) at 1,349, the Nasdaq ended up 0.4% (or 12 points) at 2,916 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was up 0.1%.

European Markets

European stock markets eased overnight after opening higher, as the Greek debt bailout negotiations linger longer. The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell 0.2%.

Investor focus continued to be on the Greek debt negotiations, as traders watch for the Greek government’s commitment to the necessary austerity measures, which are a prerequisite for finalising the bailout deal.  

News that the European Central Bank (ECB) is willing to exchange its holdings in Greek government bonds with the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) at a discounted price, was well received.  This news boosted banking shares across the region, while mining stocks sold down as BHP Billiton fell 2.3% after reporting a 5.5% decrease in first-half profit due to rising costs, falling commodity prices and production disruptions, and Glencore International and Xstrata edged lower.

In London the FTSE 100 index closed down -0.2% (or -14 points) at 5,876, the German DAX was down -0.1% (or -5 points) at 6,749 while in France the CAC was down -0.1% (or -2 points) at 3,410. Spain was up 0.1% and Italy ended up 1.1%.

Asian Markets

Asian stock markets rose yesterday, as traders followed positive leads from their overseas counterparts.  

Across the region growth sensitive stocks provided suport as the growing optimism for risk appetite pushed a number of key markets to multi-month highs.

The negotiations over the Greek debt restructuring deal continued. In Japan the Nikkei Stock Index rose to its 3-month high, while in Hong Kong the market rose to 6-month highs.  In China the Shanghai Composite bounced to 2-month highs, ahead of Chinese CPI figures out today (12:30pm).  Traders went bargain hunting ahead of the CPI news.  Property and energy stocks also gained for the session.

In China the SSE Composite closed up 2.4% at 2,347, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up 1.5% (or 319 points) at 21,018 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed up 1.1% (or -98 points) at 9,015. The South Korean KOSPI was up 1.1% for the session, while the Indian market up 0.5%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was higher at 78.60 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0802. Commodities prices traded higher.

For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX for March delivery was up 0.8% (or -$US0.74) to settle at $US99.15.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for February delivery was up 0.9% (or 3.4 cents) at $US3.89020.  February gold was down -0.7% (or -$US12.60) at $US1,734.

ASX News Today

ALZ – Australand the property developer has suffered a 15 percent slump in full-year net profit but believes it can improve earnings in 2012 despite difficult market conditions.

ANN – Ansell Ltd says it is rectifying problems with its new business processing system which have resulted in the gloves and condoms supplier losing sales and customers in the key North American market.

BHP – BHP Billiton has reported a slight fall in earnings, but is still a world leader.  Despite the 6 percent drop in half-year profit to $US9.94 billion (its first in over 2 years), BHP made more cash profits in six months than the $US90 billion proposed merger entity of commodities trader Glencore and miner Xstrata would have made in all of 2011.

CBA – CommBank is facing questions by the Queensland government after another glitch left thousands of police and civilian staff unpaid.

EMU – Emu Nickel says it needs to raise $60 million to buy the asset and re-start production in Australia’s sole antimony mine.

GNS – Gunns shares have shot up by more than 50 per cent after the woodchipper said it would make up to $280 million with the issue of new shares to New Zealand billionaire Richard Chandler.

SGT – Singtel says the federal government will consider whether there needs to be changes to copyright laws after being lobbied by Australia’s sporting codes over broadcasting rights.

SUN – Suncorp Group is the latest financial services company to announce redundancies, by sending 65 accounting positions to India.

RIO – Rio Tinto will spend $US3.4 billion expanding its iron ore operations in WA’s Pilbara region.

WEB – Webjet has posted a 17 percent jump in half-year profit as it continues to benefit from Australians travelling overseas in record numbers.

Corporate News

Reporting today: Aquarius (AQP), Bunnings (BWP), Flexigroup (FLX), Rio Tinto (RIO), Tabcorp (TAH), Telstra (TLS) and Stockland (SGP)

Market Summary 

ASX – to open flat
US & UK/Europe – held

Commodities Stock Index  down -0.3%
Gold Stocks Index down -0.3%
Oil Stocks Index down -0.3% 

US ADRs – Broadly Mixed

BHP down -1.3%,  RIO down – 0.5%; AWC down 2.5%
ANZ  up 0.6% & NAB down -0.3%
NEM   down -0.3%, JHX down -1.4%, NWS  up 0.1%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Stock Market Analysis: Markets Hold On To Recent Gains

Wednesday, February 8th, 2012
*  US stock markets rose overnight, as investors remain relatively unconcerned over the lack of a conclusion over the Greek debt-refinancing negotiations.   
*  European stock markets generally ended in the red overnight, as debt concerns resurfaced, as across the region banking shares led decliners.
* Asian stock markets eased yesterday, as markets reacted to key levels. Across the region stocks in the property, coal mining and banking sectors lost ground .
* Commodities prices traded higher, as Gold prices higher to around $US1,745 and while crude-oil closed up around $US98. 
 
The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4230, ended up 0.1% (or 4 points) at 4,251. The key levels for our index today are 4220 to 4300. 
Yesterday Aussie shares reacted positively to the surprised decision by the Reserve Bank to kept its cash rate unchanged at 4.25 percent (versus 80% concenus for another cut).  Australian borrowers are facing the news today that banks may be looking to raise rates near-term, as bank continue to complain over their cost of funding.  The Aussie dollar surged on the news, jumping about one US cent to $US1.081, a 6-month high and it also touched fresh records against the euro and hitting a 27 year-high against the British pound.  In other news the mining sector has boosted the jobs market in the past month, according to the ANZ Job Advertisements survey, with the number of jobs on offer rising by 6 percent and recording the largest rise in nearly two years.  
Aussie traders should be looking to protect recent profits, as investors wait for some conclusive news on the Greek debt talks and the RBA decision.  Markets eased in the US and European markets overnight.  The Aussie reporting season continue today with BHP and RIO soon to report.
See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

US Markets

US stock markets rose overnight, as investors remain relatively unconcerned over the lack of a conclusion over the Greek debt-refinancing negotiations.

The Dow Jones closed at fresh multi-year highs, its highest since May 2008.  In the broader markets the indexes held on to recent gains, again seven of the S&P 500′s 10 sectors were higher, led by again by energy and utilities.  

Talks between Greece and its creditors on a loan deal continue as a new fiscal pact is necessary for Greece to receive the next round of bailout funds.  The Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke address the US Senate budget committee and there has been a modest increase in the long-term normal rate of US unemployment, but did not say anything new.  

In corporate news, Coca-Cola rose, after reporting 4Q earnings and revenue that exceeded estimates, and  MasterCard said it will double its quarterly dividend as the credit-card processor on the back of a strong profits and revenue, while Coinstar (the provider of Redbox DVDs) climbed 14% after the company reported fourth-quarter results that were well above expectations and provided a first-quarter revenue outlook that exceeded forecasts.  

Commodity prices rose on the back of a weaker US dollar.

All ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded mixed, with the Materials down -0.1% , Energy sector was up 0.5%, Financials sector down -0.1%,  Industrials sector was down -0.1%, Technology was up 0.3%,  while Consumer Staples were up 0.5%.

The Dow Jones closed up 0.3% (or 33 points) at 12,878, the S&P 500 index up 0.2%  (or 3 points) at 1,347, the Nasdaq ended up 0.1% (or  4 points) at 2,532 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was up 0.1%.

European Markets

European stock markets closed lower overnight, but pared losses in late trade on reports that Greece was close to reaching an agreement needed to qualify for a second bailout. The Stoxx Europe 600 index closed 0.3% lower.  

European markets recovered from early losses, after news that Greek government officials were drafting a final agreement on budget cuts to be presented to political leaders.  The Greek political parties have been struggling to finalize details of another round of austerity measures, intended to pave the way for their second bailout package for Greece.  

In economic news German industrial output data unexpectedly fell a seasonally adjusted 2.9% on the month in December, the biggest drop since the days of the GFC.  This weighed on German stocks particularly autos and miners.  In corporate news, Glencore International PLC and Xstrata PLC said they agreed to an all-share merger of equals that would create a $90 billion natural resources company, however some institutions are saying that the deal undervalues Xstrata.

In London the FTSE 100 index closed down -0.1% (or -2 points) at 5,890, the German DAX was down -0.2% (or -10 points) at 6,754 while in France the CAC was  up 0.2% (or 6 points)  at 3,411, Spain was up 0.1% and Italy ended up 0.6%.

Asian Markets

Asian stock markets eased yesterday, as markets reacted to key levels. Across the region stocks in the property, coal mining and banking sectors lost ground, because of disappointment over the Chinese government’s lack of monetary policy easing measures.  The spectre of lack of clear progress in ongoing Greek debt restructuring negotiations also weighed on sentiment.

In China the market fell as tight liquidity conditions and the absence of an easing in the reserve ratio requirements for banks weighed on stocks.  Hong Kong and Japanese markets ended flat.

In China the SSE Composite was closed up 0.1% at 2,331 while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was down -0.2% (or  -47 points)  at 20,709 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed up 1.1% (or  97 points) at 8,929, South Korean KOSPI was up 0.1% for the session, while the Indian market up 0.6%.
Commodities

The Dollar Index was higher  at 79.09 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0762. Commodities prices traded lower.

For the session the Benchmark crude NYMEX for March delivery was down -0.9% (or -$US0.95) settle at $US97.19.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for February delivery was down -1.0% (or -3.8 cents) at $US3.8580.  February gold was down -0.9% (or -$US15.10) at $US1,720. 

ASX News Today

AKI – Suitor Exxaro Resources the South African miner has all but 27 percent for minimum acceptance level in its $338 million take-over bid for African Iron the Perth-based iron ore explorer.

BKN- Brdken the mining and rail equipment manufacturer says first-half profit is up 65 percent and its full-year expectations remain unchanged.

CLO – Clough the engineering and construction firm, has won a $140 million contract for work on Inpex’s $US34 billion Ichthys liquefied natural gas (LNG) project.

COH – Cochlear has suffered a $20 million dollar loss in the first half of its financial year after a mass recall of one its most popular bionic ear devices.

LEI – Leighton Holdings subsidiary Thiess has won a $1 billion mining contract to extend the life of OZ Minerals’ Prominent Hill copper and gold mine.

MQG – Macquarie Group says full-year net profit is expected to fall by as much as 25 per cent amid difficult trading conditions.

NAB – National Australia Bank lifted cash earnings in the first quarter to $1.4 billion but the bank says higher funding costs are impacting its business.

TCL – Toll road operator Transurban expects a strong performance in the second half of the financial year as it continues major construction projects in Australia and the US and finalises contracts on other developments.
Corporate News

Reporting today: Ansell (ANN), Australand (ALZ), BHP (BHP), News Corp (NWS) and Talent2 (TWO)
Market Summary 
ASX – to open lower
US & UK/Europe – eased

Commodities Stock Index  up 0.1%
Gold Stocks Index down -0.1%
Oil Stocks Index up 0.6% 

US ADRs – Broadly Higher!!…

BHP down -0.5%,  RIO down – 0.5%; AWC up 1.4%
ANZ down – 0.7% & NAB up 0.3%

NEM   down -0.2%, JHX up 0.9%, NWS  up 1.2%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

 
For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Stock Market Analysis: Markets Cautious As Greek Debt Resolve Lingers

Tuesday, February 7th, 2012

*  US stock markets eased overnight, with the 5-week rally pausing as markets trade at key levels.
*  European stock markets generally ended in the red overnight, as debt concerns resurfaced. Across the region banking shares led decliners.
* Asian stock markets played catchup yesterday, following the US investors on better-than-expected US employment figures.
* Commodities prices traded lower, as Gold prices dropped lower to around $US1,720 and crude-oil closed down around $US97.

The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4230, ending up 0.4% (or 15 points) at 4,271. The key levels for our index today are 4230 to 4300. 

Yesterday Aussie shares played catchup with their overseas counterparts, but today traders should be looking to protect recent profits, as investors wait for some conclusive news on the Greek debt talks and today’s RBA decision.  Markets eased in the US and European markets overnight.  

The RBA is expected to cut interest rates to 4% today, but investors and borrowers will be watching to see how much of the cut is passed on.

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

Economics News Today

* RBA Interest Rate Decision. 

US Markets

US stock markets eased overnight, as the 5-week rally paused, as markets trade at key levels. Trader focus turned to debate in Greece over fiscal austerity, and the pending bailout.  

The three major indexes took a breather, finishing flat for the session.  To put this in perspective, the recent rally has seen the Dow and the S&P 500 each rise nearly 20% since early October. Overnight seven of the S&P 500′s 10 sectors finished in the red, led lower by materials and financials, but energy stocks provided some support.  

Sixty percent of the S&P 500 companies have reported so far and to date earnings have surprised to the upside for stocks which are considered leaders in their sector, e.g. Apple and Caterpillar, but consumer retail margins are shrinking as shown by Amazon’s huge profit fall.

All ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded lower, except for Energy which was up 0.9%. Materials were down -0.2%, Financials were down -0.1%, Industrials were down -0.1%, Technology was flat,  while Consumer Staples were down -0.1%.

The Dow Jones closed down – 0.1% (or -17 points) at 12,845, the S&P 500 index was down -0.1% (or 1 point) at 1,344, the Nasdaq ended down -0.1% (or -1 points) at 2,528 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was down -0.3%.

European Markets

European stock markets generally ended in the red overnight, as debt concerns resurfaced.  The Stoxx Europe 600 index closed down 0.1%, breaking a 4-day winning streak.  

Across the region banking shares led decliners, however Greek banks bounced around 20% from recent lows as the fears of nationalisation subsided.  

Trader focus turned to debate in Greece over fiscal austerity, and the pending bailout.  Greek leaders are yet to conclude debt talks with private debt holders to write down the country’s debt by EUR100 billion. A resolution is crucial as Greece must repay EUR14.5 billion of maturing debt in March to avoid a default. The political leaders tried to agree on fiscal austerity measures needed to keep Greece from defaulting on its debts next month. Greece has agreed to cut 15,000 public-sector workers by the end of this year.  

Investors are also concerned about Portugal, which could be the next in line for a bailout after their borrowing costs recently surged with the 10-year government bond yield reaching euro-era highs. The 10-year Portuguese government bond yield is at 17.39%.  

In London, miners were again in focus with Randgold Resources up 2.2% after posting a fourfold rise in 4Q net profit, which led to a doubling of its dividend payment. Glencore International PLC fell -4.5% and Xstrata shares were down -1.7%, as traders heard that the proposed merger with Xstrata PLC might be investigated by the European Union competition commissioner.  

In London the FTSE 100 index closed down -0.1% (or -9 points) at 5,892, the German DAX was down -0.1% (or -2 points) at 6,765 while in France the CAC was down -0.7% (or -22 points) at 3,405. Spain was down -0.3% and Italy ended down -0.3%.

Asian Markets

Asian stock markets played catchup yesterday, following the US investors on better-than-expected US employment figures.

In Japan the market reached its highest level in three months, led by exporters on the prospect of better global demand into 2012.  In China the Shanghai Composite Index rose to close at 2-month highs, as the gains were led by growth-sensitive stocks.

In China the SSE Composite closed up 0.1% at 2,331 while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was down -0.2% (or -47 points) at 20,709 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed up 1.1% (or 97 points) at 8,929. The South Korean KOSPI was up 0.1% for the session, while the Indian market was up 0.6%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was higher at 79.09 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0762. Commodities prices traded lower.

For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX for March delivery was down -0.9% (or -$US0.95) to settle at $US97.19.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for February delivery was down -1.0% (or -3.8 cents) at $US3.8580.  February gold was down -0.9% (or -$US15.10) at $US1,720. 

ASX News Today

AUN – Austar, the regional pay TV provider, is seeking court approval to postpone a shareholder vote on Foxtel’s proposed take-over because the competition watchdog is yet to approve the deal.

DOW – Downer, the engineering firm and major private partner in the troubled Reliance Rail project, has welcomed a restructure of the group’s financing.  Elsewhere Downer said it has won a $570 million contract to provide services at the Karara iron ore project in WA.

EXT – Extract Resources says the proposed $2.1 billion takeover bid for the Perth-based uranium explorer and developer of one of the world’s biggest uranium assets by a Chinese state-owned entity has taken a step closer, but a direct offer has not been made.

NAB – National Australia Bank’s cash earnings in the first quarter of its fiscal year are up 8 percent but the bank says higher funding costs are impacting its business.

PAN  - Panoramic Resources has delived an “opportunistic” takeover bid for the base metals explorer Magma Metals.

PPT – Investment firm Perpetual said that it stood Chris Ryan down over the weekend because of differences with the board over strategy.

QAN – Qantas boss Alan Joyce has warned a parliamentary hearing that proposed legislative changes are a major threat to the airline’s future.

TLS – Telstra is expected to report a double-digit increase in first half profit later this week, as the telco grows market share, particularly in mobile, as it keeps costs in check.

WBC – Westpac boss Gail Kelly says the bank may not pass on the central bank’s expected interest rate cuts this week.

WHC – Whitehaven Coal has closed four mines in NSW as a result of recent heavy rainfall and says it has lost about one week’s worth of production.

Corporate News

Reporting today: Bradken (BKN), Challenger (CDI), Cochlear (COH), Reckon (RKN) and Transurban (TCL)

Market Summary 

ASX – to open lower

US & UK/Europe – lower

Commodities Stock Index  up 0.1%
Gold Stocks Index down -0.1%
Oil Stocks Index up 0.6% 

US ADRs – Lower

BHP down -0.5%,  RIO down – 0.5%; AWC up 1.4%
ANZ down – 0.7% & NAB up 0.3%
NEM   down -0.2%, JHX up 0.9%, NWS  up 1.2%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Stock Market Analysis: Markets Cheer US Employment Figures

Monday, February 6th, 2012
* US stock markets cheered the better-than-expected employment figures.   
*  European stock markets rallied, on the back of the US employment figures. The Stoxx Europe 600 index  rose 1.7% and was up 3.6% for the week.
* Asian stockmarkets ended in mixed on Friday, as traders were cautious ahead of Friday’s US employment report.
* Commodities prices traded mixed, as Gold prices higher to around $US1,725  and while crude-oil closed down around $US98. 

The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4230, ended up 1.3% (or 56 points) at 4,278. The key levels for our index this week are 4180 to 4350. 

Aussie shares are seet to play catchup with their overseas counterparts, as investors wait for some conclusive news on the Greek debt talks and the US monthly employment figures were better-than-expected.  We had strongly positive leads from the US and European markets on Friday.   There is plenty of economic news out this week with seven central banks meeting, including the RBA which is expected to cut interest rates agains on Tuesday. 

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

US Markets

US stock markets cheered the better-than-expected employment figures. All three major markets are officially in a bull market as of Friday’s close, defined as 20% or higher above October’s closing lows.  
In the broader market the S&P 500 is up 6.9% so far this year, and the Nasdaq is up 12% and have now recorded their best start to the year for 2-decades.  The Nasdaq closed at it highest level since 2001.  All 10 of the S&P 500′s sectors rose, with financials and consumer-discretionary stocks leading the way.  

Traders pushed the markets higher after stronger-than-expected employment report from the U.S. Labor Department, which showed that in January Nonfarm payrolls rose 243,000 last month, marking the biggest gain since April, and the unemployment rate fell from 8.5% to 8.3%, its lowest since February 2009. 

All ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded higher with the Materials up 1.4% , Energy sector was up 1.7%, Financials sector up 0.4%,  Industrials sector was up 0.6%, Technology was up 1.3%,  while  Consumer Staples were up 2.1%.

The Dow Jones closed up 1.2% (or 157 points) at 12,862, the S&P 500 index up 1.5%  (or 19 points) at 1,344, the Nasdaq ended up 1.6% (or 46 points) at 2,905 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was up 2.2%.

European Markets

European stock markets rallied, on the back of the US employment figures. The Stoxx Europe 600 index  rose 1.7% and was up 3.6% for the week.  

Investor sentiment was also boosted by data from the eurozone composite purchasing manager’s index (PMI) which  confirmed growth in the private-sector activity in January, as the index rose to 50.4 in January (up from 48.3 in December). Across the region financials and growth sensitive stocks led the gains, as commodites also gained.  

Markets across the region rose with the exception of Greece which fell -3.8%, after media reports said the Greek Prime Minister may resign if a new financing plan is not backed by the three parties that support his interim unity government. Eurozone finance ministers also cancelled a meeting due to discuss Greece’s second bailout, that had been set for Monday. 

In London the FTSE 100 index closed up 1.8% (or 105 points) at 5,901, the German DAX was up 1.7% (or 111 points) at 6,766 while in France the CAC was  up 1.5% (or 51 points)  at 3,427, Spain was up 1.0% and Italy ended up 1.0%.

Asian Markets

Asian stockmarkets ended in mixed on Friday, as traders were cautious ahead of Friday’s US employment report.  

Traders will be taking their lead form the US today and are set to play catchup today. The Japanese and South Korean markets lost ground.  Chinese stocks recovered from early weakness to finish at 2-month highs, as the property sector saw some bargain hunting.

In China the SSE Composite was closed up 0.8% at 2,330 while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up 0.1% at 20,757 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed down -0.5% (or  -44points) at 8,832, South Korean KOSPI  was up 1.3% for the session, while the Indian market up 1.0%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was higher  at 79.09 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0762. Commodities prices traded generally higher.

For the session the Benchmark crude NYMEX for February delivery was up 1.5% (or $US1.48) settle at $US97.77.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for February delivery was up 3.2% (or 12 cents) at $US3.8905.  Februarygold was down -1.1% (or -$US18.90) at $US1,725. 

ASX News Today

 
BHP – BHP Billiton has committed $US779 million to a port project that could increase its WA iron ore exports by 100 million tonnes each year.

BLD – Boral the building materials maker has sold its Indonesian business for $US135 million ($A127.87 million) and confirmed its previous expectations for its half-year profit.

AUN – Austar the regional pay TV provider is seeking court approval to postpone a shareholder vote on Foxtel’s proposed take-over because  the competition watchdog is yet to approve the deal.

EXT – Extract Resources says the proposed $2.1 billion takeover bid for the Perth-based uranium explorer, by a Chinese state-owned entity has taken a step closer, but a direct offer has not been made.

PAN  - Panoramic Resources has delived an “opportunistic” takeover bid for the base metals explorer Magma Metals.

STO – Santos says its Wortel operation in Indonesia has produced its first gas, the fourth project in the company’s base business to begin output in the past eight months.
WES – Wesfarmers says Coles had its best ever Christmas sales in 2011, which contributed to a 7.3 percent rise in first half sales to $17.5 billion.

WBC – Westpac boss Gail Kelly says the bank may not pass on the central bank’s expected interest rate cuts this  week.

WHC – Whitehaven Coal has closed four mines in NSW as a result of recent heavy rainfall and says it has lost about one week’s worth of production.
 
Market Summary 
ASX – to open higher
US & UK/Europe – higher

 

Commodities Stock Index  up 1.4%
Gold Stocks Index down -1.3%
Oil Stocks Index up 2.2% 

US ADRs – Broadly Higher!!…

BHP up 1.6%,  RIO up 0.1%; AWC up 2.2%
ANZ up 1.2% & NAB up 1.2%
NEM   down -2.1%, JHX up 2.0%, NWS  up 1.8%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

 
For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Stock Market Analysis: Markets Drifting Up Into Key Levels

Friday, February 3rd, 2012

* US stock markets eased overnight, as traders digested mixed earnings reports and showed caution ahead of the US Non-Farm payolls report due out tonight. 
* European stock markets edged higher overnight, as the European Stoxx 600 index held at 6-month highs.
* Asian stock markets were broadly higher yesterday, led by commodity and financial stocks.
* Commodities prices traded mixed, as Gold prices higher to around $US1,760  and while crude-oil closed down around $US96.

The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4180, ending flat at 4,240. The key levels for our index today are 4180 to 4230.

Yesterday Aussie shares played catchup with their overseas counterparts, but today traders should be looking to protect recent profits, as investors wait for some conclusive news on the Greek debt talks and the US monthly employment figures due out tonight.  We had generally positive leads from the US and European markets overnight.

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

US Markets

US stock markets eased overnight, as traders digested mixed earnings reports and showed caution ahead of the US Non-Farm payolls report due out tonight.  

The Dow industrials finished down for the seventh time in past 9 sessions.  In the broader markets the S&P 500 ended flat, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq edged higher and continues to outperform, jumping 9.8% this year, trading at six-month highs.  

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke addressed US lawmakers overnight, describing the pace of the US economic recovery as “frustratingly slow” and warned of the importance of addressing the US’s fiscal challenges highlighting the eurozone sovereign-debt crisis as an example of out-of-control fiscal policies. Bernanke fell short of reaffirming a QE3 package.  

In corporate news big-pharma sold down after Merck reported 4Q revenue that were below expectations.  A number of retailers were hammered after Abercrombie & Fitch plunged -11%, after the apparel retailer said that fiscal 4Q earnings would fall well short of expectations. Another retailer, Ann, plunged -8.5% after saying its fiscal 4Q results would be below expectations as well. On the flip side, MasterCard rose 6.7% after increased card spending helped the company turn in core earnings ahead of expectations.  

Commodities were generally weak with crude-oil down on falling US demand and increases in supplies and copper retraced, but gold continues its rise on the back of eurozone debt concerns.

The ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded mixed with Materials down -0.5%, Energy up 0.8%, Financials up 0.5%, Industrials up 0.1%, Technology up 0.3%, while Consumer Staples were down -0.1%.

The Dow Jones closed down -0.1 % (or -11 points) at 12,705, the S&P 500 index was up 0.1% (or 1 point) at 1,325, the Nasdaq ended up 0.4% (or 11 points) at 2,860 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was up 0.4%.

European Markets

European stock markets edged higher overnight, as the European Stoxx 600 index closed 0.2% higher, holding at 6-month highs.  

Traders pushed share prices higher after US data showed productivity was up 0.7% in the fourth quarter of 2011 and initial jobless claims were down 12,000. Sentiment was also helped by successful bond auctions with the Spanish Treasury selling nearly EUR4.6 billion of government debt with borrowing costs declining, while France successfully sold EUR7.96 billion of government debt.  However investors continued to await a conclusion to talks between Greece and its private-sector creditors.

Mining stocks were in focus after Xstrata PLC (up 10%) confirmed it is in merger talks with Glencore International PLC (up 7%), while Vedanta Resources PLC gained 5.8% and Rio Tinto PLC rose 1.8%. Energy stocks weighed on the back of lower crude-oil prices.

In London the FTSE 100 index closed up 0.1% (or 5 points) at 5,796, the German DAX was up 0.6% (or 39 points) at 6,655 while in France the CAC was up 0.3% (or 9 points) at 3,376. Spain was up 0.8% and Italy ended up 0.1%.

Asian Markets

Asian stock markets were broadly higher yesterday, led by commodity and financial stocks after an improvement in manufacturing data buoyed global sentiment.  

Across the region commodity stocks were higher as positive manufacturing data is seen as a positive for global growth.  Financials also pushed markets higher.  It was “risk on” and the Chinese and Hong Kong markets surged 2% for the session. 

In China the SSE Composite was closed up 1.9% at 2,313, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up 2.0% at 20,739 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed up 0.8% (or 67 points) at 8,877. The South Korean KOSPI was up 1.3% for the session, while the Indian market up 0.8%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was higher at 78.99 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0713. Commodities prices traded generally lower.

For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX was down -1.1% (or -$US1.03) settle at $US96.58.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper was down -1.4% (or -5.3 cents) at $US3.7855.  Gold was up 0.6% (or $US9.70) at $US1,759. 

ASX News Today

BHP – BHP Billiton has committed $US779 million to a port project that could increase its WA iron ore exports by 100 million tonnes each year.

BLD – Boral the building materials maker has sold its Indonesian business for $US135 million ($A127.87 million) and confirmed its previous expectations for its half-year profit.

ERA – Energy Resources Australia has posted a $153.6 million loss for 2011 and says production is still having problems with wet weather.

FXJ – Australia’s richest person Gina Rinehart has increased her stake in Fairfax by an estimated 10 percent, at a 10% premium.

LYC – Lynas, the rare earths miner, received a temporary license for its rare earths refinery in Malaysia and says it has a responsibility to the Malaysian community to operate a newly-approved plant in a safe manner.

PMP – PMP, the publisher and direct marketer, has cut its earnings guidance and implemented further restructuring due to poor trading conditions and weaker printing orders.

RIO – Rio Tinto has reported its 40-year-old aluminium smelter at Tiwai Point, near Bluff, had its biggest production year ever in 2011.

STO – Santos says its Wortel operation in Indonesia has produced its first gas, the fourth project in the company’s base business to begin output in the past eight months.

WES – Wesfarmers says Coles had its best ever Christmas sales in 2011, which contributed to a 7.3 percent rise in first half sales to $17.5 billion.

Ex-dividend Date

None

Market Summary 

ASX – to open higher
US & UK/Europe – higher
Commodities Stock Index  up 0.8%
Gold Stocks Index up 1.3%
Oil Stocks Index up 0.4% 

US ADRs – Broadly Higher

BHP up 0.6%,  RIO up 1.5%; AWC up 0.4%
ANZ up 2.1% & NAB up 0.5%
NEM   down -1.9%, JHX up 2.4%, NWS  down -1.2%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Stock Market Analysis: Traders Cheer Improving Global Manufacturing Figures

Thursday, February 2nd, 2012

* US stock markets jumped overnight and are approaching multi-year highs, as traders cheered improving worldwide manufacturing reports.
* European stock markets jumped higher overnight, as financials and energy stocks pushed indices higher on the back of improving manufacturing data.
* Asian stock markets ended mixed yesterday, but are likely to play catch-up today.
* Commodities prices traded mixed, as Gold prices rose higher to around $US1,744. Crude-oil closed down around $US97.

The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4180, ending up 1.3% (or 55 points) at 4,248. The key levels for our index today are 4200 to 4280.

Yesterday Aussie shares sold down, led by the miners and financials, as investors waited for news on European debt talks, and stocks traded cautiously ahead of the Chinese PMI figures, which beat expectations.

Aussie shares are expected to jump today and traders will be looking to play catch up with positive leads from the US and European markets.

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

Economics News Today

* Dec     Building Approvals
* Dec     International Trade in Goods & Services

US Markets

US stock markets jumped overnight, approaching multi-year highs, as traders cheered improving worldwide manufacturing reports.  

The three major indices continued to rise after posting their best January performance in 15 years. All 10 S&P 500 sectors traded in the green, with the gains led by financial and industrial stocks, while technology stocks shook off the disappointing results from Amazon.  

Economic news buoyed sentiment after weekly jobs data showed US employment ahead of the monthly Non-farms employment report due out Friday.  Manufacturing figures improved globally, and a reading on US manufacturing came in at 54.1 for January (up from 53.1).

Facebook has announced its IPO to the tune of $5 billion through Morgan Stanley; the company made $1 billion in profit with revenue of $3.7 billion last year.

All ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded mixed with Materials up 1.0%, Energy up 0.4%, Financials up 1.6%,  Industrials up 1.1%, Technology up 1.0%, while Consumer Staples were up 0.4%.

The Dow Jones closed up 1.0% (or 125 points) at 12,757, the S&P 500 index up 1.2% (or 16 points) at 1,327, the Nasdaq ended up 1.2% (or 34 points) at 2,848 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was up 1.9%.

European Markets

European stock markets jumped higher overnight, as financials and energy stocks pushed indices higher on the back of improving manufacturing data.  The Stoxx 600 index closed at a six-month high, up 2%.  

Investors cheered improving manufacturing data from China, Germany, the U.K. and the eurozone which came in slightly better than expected (but with the exception of London and China the figures were below the key 50 level which signifies expansion).

Financials performed well, with Italian banks surging after yields on 10-year Italian government bonds fell 22 basis points to 5.64%.  Growth-sensitive stocks performed well as commodities prices rose with gold, silver, copper and aluminium prices all higher, boosting the mining sector to solid gains.  The news on manufacturing figures sparked buying.  

European shares continued higher after data showed that the ISM manufacturing index climbed to 54.1% in January.  Additionally manufacturing data from Germany, the U.K. and the eurozone all boosted sentiment as the German PMI rose to 51.0 in January (up from 48.4), while eurozone PMI rose to 48.8 in January (above estimates of 48.7), while in London the UK PMI hit an eight-month high of 52.1 in January (up from 49.7).

In London the FTSE 100 index closed up 1.9% (or 109 points) at 5,790, the German DAX was up 2.4% (or 158 points) at 6,616, while in France the CAC was  up 2.1% (or 69 points) at 3,368. Spain was up 2.2% and Italy ended up 2.7%.

Asian Markets

Asian stock markets ended mixed yesterday, but are likely to play catch-up today.  

In China the Shanghai Composite Index underperformed down over 1%, despite Chinese manufacturing activity figures coming in better-than-expected, as this raised concerns that the government may not need to immediately ease its monetary policy. The Chinese official Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) was reported at 50.5 in January, up from 50.3 in December (above expectations of a drop to 49.5). The 50 level that delineates expansion and contraction.

The news prompted traders to sell-down resource and property stocks which finished broadly lower.  Elsewhere Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong finished flat.

In China the SSE Composite was down -1.1% at 2,268, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was down -0.3% at 20,333 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed up 0.1% (or 7 points) at 8,809. The South Korean KOSPI was up 0.2% for the session, while the Indian market up 0.6%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was higher at 78.91 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0711. Commodities prices traded generally higher.

For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX was down -1.2% (or -$US1.13) settle at $US97.35. Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper was up 1.4% (or 5.1 cents) at $US3.8300.  Gold was up 0.4% (or $US6.40) at $US1,744.

ASX News Today

BLD – Boral, the building materials maker, has sold its Indonesian business for $US135 million ($A127.87 million) and confirmed its previous expectations for its half-year profit.

ERA – Energy Resources Australia has posted a $153.6 million loss for 2011 and says production is still having problems with wet weather.

FXJ – Australia’s richest person Gina Rinehart has increased her stake in Fairfax by an estimated 10 percent, at a 10% premium.

QAN – Qantas says it is in a strong financial position despite having its credit rating downgraded by Moody’s ratings agency.

STO – Santos says its Wortel operation in Indonesia has produced its first gas, the fourth project in the company’s base business to begin output in the past eight months.

WES – Wesfarmers says Coles had its best ever Christmas sales in 2011, which contributed to a 7.3 percent rise in first half sales to $17.5 billion.

Market Summary 

ASX – to open higher
US & UK/Europe – higher
Commodities Stock Index  up 0.6%
Gold Stocks Index up 0.1%
Oil Stocks Index up 0.3% 

US ADRs – Broadly Higher

BHP up 1.3%,  RIO up 2.0%; AWC up 0.7%
ANZ up 1.4% & NAB up 1.1%
NEM   down -0.6%, JHX up 0.5%, NWS  up 1.9%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Stock Market Analysis: Market Caution Remains Due to Greek Bond Standoff

Tuesday, January 31st, 2012

* US stock markets have recovered from an early sell-off ending modestly lower for the session.
* European stock markets fell overnight as investors grew increasingly concerned about the lack of a Greek debt-restructuring deal.
* Asian markets fell yesterday as investors were cautious ahead of a key summit of European leaders later in the day and Chinese PMI out Wednesday.
* Commodities prices traded mostly lower, as Gold prices dropped to around $US1,730, while crude-oil closed up around $US99.

The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4180, ended down -0.2% (or -7 points) at 4,238. The key levels for our index today are 4180 to 4230.

Last week the Australian share market ended up for a fourth consecutive week, with shares up around 5.5 percent so far in 2012.

Yesterday Aussie shares fell, led down by the financials, as investors waited for news on Europe debt talks.

Aussie shares are expected to ease today and traders are should be looking to protect recent profits, after weaker leads again from the US and European markets.

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

Economics News Today

*  Dec     Financial Aggregates, including Private Sector Credit�
*  Dec     NAB Business Survey�
*  Dec     International Reserves & Foreign Currency Liquidity.

US Markets

US stock markets have recovered from an early sell-off ending modestly lower for the session. Traders are showing concern that the standoff between Greece and its private creditors is still not resolved, as well as an alarming surge in Portugal’s borrowing costs.

Financial companies led stocks lower as investors remain wary of the potential for Europe’s debt issues to spread causing contagion across the global financial system. Eight of 10 sectors on the S&P 500 finished in the red for the session, with the only exceptions being the telecommunication and technology sectors. Trading volumes were down as fund managers are looking to hold on to their January profits as the month end nears.

The ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded mixed with Materials down -0.2%, Financials down -0.9%, Energy down -0.5%, Industrials down -0.4%, Technology up 0.3%, while Consumer Staples were down -0.3%.

The Dow Jones closed down -0.1% (or -6 points) at 12,654, the S&P 500 index down -0.3%  (or -3 points) at 1,313, the Nasdaq ended down -0.2% (or -5 points) at 2,811 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was down -0.6%.

European Markets

European stock markets fell overnight as investors grew increasingly concerned about the lack of a Greek debt-restructuring deal. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index closed down -1.1%.  All the key markets were down over -1% for the session.

Across the region the financials led the sell-down with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index Banking sector closing down -3.1%. Investors were worried due to Friday’s Fitch ratings agency downgrade of Italy, Spain, Belgium, Slovenia and Cyprus and cut its outlook in Ireland. 

Investors are concerned over the Greek debt negotiation and are now shifting their attention to Portugal, which could be the next in line for a bailout after their borrowing costs surged with the 10-year government bond yield reaching euro-era highs, with the 10-year Portuguese government bond yield at 17.39%.

The meeting of the European Union leader’s summit is underway in Brussels. It aims to endorse a permanent bailout fund with a lending capacity of EUR500 billion, and to finish details of a “fiscal pact” aiming at budget deficits.  There is some good news as all European Union countries, except Britain and the Czech Republic, have agreed to sign a new treaty designed to stop overspending in the eurozone and put an end to the bloc’s disastrous debt crisis, while also pledging to stimulate growth across the region.  The eurozone’s 17 nations hope that the tighter rules will convince investors that all countries will get their debts under control and restore confidence in their joint currency.

In London the FTSE 100 index closed down -1.1% (or -62 points) at 5672, the German DAX was down -1.1% (or -67 points) at 6,444 while in France the CAC was down -1.6% (or -53 points) at 3,265. Spain was down -1.6% and Italy ended down -1.2%.

Asian Markets

Asian stock markets fell yesterday as investors were cautious ahead of a key summit of European leaders later in the day and Chinese PMI out Wednesday.  Japanese stocks closed lower.

Chinese traders returned in a sombre mood and sold down stocks, due to disappointment over a lack of policy easing from the government. The Hong Kong market was also lower, as shares of developers and Chinese banks fell sharply on fears over the property sector’s outlook in the absence of any policy easing. The Taiwanese market bucked the trend, rising sharply as the market returned after a long Lunar New Year holiday. 

In China the SSE Composite closed down -1.5% at 2,285, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up -1.7% at 20,160 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed down -0.5% (or -48 points) at 8,793, while the Indian market was down 2.2%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was lower at 78.36 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0667. Commodities prices traded lower.

For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX for January delivery was down -0.6% (or -$US0.63) to settle at $US98.93.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for January delivery was down -1.6% (or -6.4 cents) at $US3.8263.  January gold was down -0.1% (or -$US1.70) at $US1,730.

ASX News Today

GGP – Golden Gate Petroleum, with a market cap of just $44 million, says it no longer needs to raise further capital and is forecasting Golden Gate will produce close to 1000 barrels of oil a day, in the next 9 months.

OST – OneSteel will receive $64 million to help it prepare for the introduction of the federal government’s carbon tax in July.

ROC – ROC Oil lifted production in the December quarter, but for the year it was down.  4Q production increased by 7 percent on the previous quarter to 708,675 barrels of crude oil, bringing full-year total to 2.73 million barrels of oil equivalent, compared to 3.1 mmboe in 2010.

WES – Wesfarmers to release second-quarter sales figures on Thursday.

WOW – Woolworths, Australia’s biggest supermarket chain, releases second-quarter sales figures today.  Woolworths has appointed Christine Cross, David Mackay and Michael Ullmer as non-executive directors.

Ex-dividend Date

None

Market Summary 

ASX – to open lower
US & UK/Europe – lower
Commodities Stock Index  down -0.5%
Gold Stocks Index down -1.3%
Oil Stocks Index down -0.1% 

US ADRs – Broadly Lower

BHP down -0.9% & RIO down -0.2%; AWC down -1.1%
ANZ down -0.9% & NAB down -1.4%
NEM   down -0.5%, JHX down -2.3%, NWS  up 0.3%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Stock Market Analysis: Markets Ease – Still No Greek Resolution

Monday, January 30th, 2012

* US stock markets ended mixed on Friday, after the GDP figures disappointed.
* European stock markets eased back from 5-month highs Friday, as the Stoxx Europe 600 fell -1%.
* Many Asian stock markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holidays.
* Commodities prices traded lower, as Gold prices were around $US1,738. Crude-oil closed around $US98.

The SPI Futures is trading below the key pivot level of 4180, ending up 0.6% (or 26 points) at 4,148. The key levels for our index this week are 4080 to 4250.

Aussie shares are expected to ease and traders are expected to join their overseas counterparts in protecting their profits today, after negative leads from the US and European markets.

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

US Markets

US stock markets ended mixed on Friday, after the GDP figures disappointed.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended up 3.6% YTD, while for the week, the S&P and the Nasdaq ended in positive territory for the fourth week in a row.  The materials and health care sectors led the S&P, while utilities and consumer staples lagged.

In economic news US gross domestic product (GDP), the value of all goods and services produced, expanded at an annual rate of 2.8% from the final quater of 2011, which was below expectations. However the GDP figures are confirming the US economy expanded at the fastest pace since the second quarter of 2010.  US growth is expected to slow in the first half of 2012 which tempered trader enthusiasm.

In corporate news, Facebook could file as early as next week for an initial public offering that would raise $10 billion and value the company at $75 billion to $100 billion.  The Nasdaq CEO said that this market has the biggest number of IPO applications in a decade, which is a positive for investor sentiment.

This week earnings continue, and the monthly jobs figures will be released Friday night.

All ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded mixed with Materials up 0.1%, Financials down -0.4%, Energy down -0.2%, Industrials down -0.1%, Technology was flat, while Consumer Staples were down -0.7%.

European Markets

European stock markets eased back from 5-month highs Friday, as the Stoxx Europe 600 fell -1%.  Stocks eased as the Fitch Ratings Agency downgraded the sovereign credit ratings for Spain, Belgium and Italy.  Greece is still said to be close to closing its debt restructuring deal with private creditors.

The German market was up again for the week and is up 7.6% YTD, and in France the CAC-40 has risen 5.2% YTD, while in London YTD the FTSE 100 is up 2.9%.

This week investors will be watching for the outcome of the EU summit meeting to be held next week.

In London the FTSE 100 index closed down -1.1% (or -62 points) at 5733, the German DAX was up 1.8% (or 118 points) at 6,539 while in France the CAC was down -1.3% (or -1.3 points) at 3,319. Spain was down -0.7% and Italy ended down -1.0%.

Asian Markets

Many Asian stock markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holidays.  Across the region the resource sector led markets higher as buyers as trading resumed after a break.

Investors cheered the Federal Reserve announcement that benchmark US interest rates will likely remain at ultra-low levels until 2014, and commodities prices rose on the news. Much of the buying in the region was led by resource and banking stocks.   However traders remain cautious over the Greek debt restructuring talks and mixed earnings reports.

In Japan shares were hurt by poor earnings reports from Nintendo and NEC, while Hong Kong stocks rose as the Hang Seng Index was up for a sixth straight day, with gains led by banking and telecommunication shares.

In China the SSE Composite was closed at 2,319, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up 0.3% at 20,501 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed down -0.1% (or -8 points) at 8,841. The South Korean KOSPI was up 0.4% for the session, while the Indian market up 0.5%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was lower at 78.36 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0667. Commodities prices traded lower.

For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX for January delivery was down -0.1% (or -$US0.14) to settle at $US99.76.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for January delivery was down -0.3% (or -1.3 cents) at $US3.8855.  January gold was up 0.3% (or $US5.50) at $US1,738.

ASX News Today

AGO – Atlas Iron managing director David Flanagan said Atlas is not for sale, but delivered downgraded production and export results for the December quarter and has cut its production targets for the financial year, because of the impact of Tropical Cyclone Heidi.

ALS – Alesco Corporation, the building products distributor has more than tripled its first half profit but says trading conditions are tough.

CPA – Commonwealth Property Office Fund expects its first-half profit to grow and has boosted its forecasts for distributions.

EPW – ERM Power has received the go-ahead to build a $500 million gas-fired power station west of Brisbane.

LYC – Lynas Corp is back, surging another 5% after reporting it has secured enough funds ($US225 million in unsecured convertible bonds) to complete construction and start-up of its delayed rare earths processing plant in Malaysia.

RMD -  Resmed the US-based sleep disorder specialist reported a better than expected profit result in the quarter of last year as profit dropped modestly for the first half of this financial year (July to December 2011) to US$113.4 million.

TOL – Toll Holdings is facing union action in Los Angeles as truck drivers who accuse their Australian employer of treating them like “second-class citizens”, have announced plans to hold union elections at their workplace.

WHC – Whitehaven Coal has increased production by two per cent in the December quarter, but sales have fallen.

WPL – Woodside Petroleum denies it is looking to sell a major part of its stake in the proposed Browse basin liquified natural gas (LNG) project.

Market Summary

ASX – to open flat
US & UK/Europe – lower
Commodities Stock Index  up 0.5%
Gold Stocks Index up 1.9%
Oil Stocks Index down -0.8% 

US ADRs – Broadly Lower

BHP down -0.3% & RIO down -1.0%; AWC up 0.4%
ANZ down -0.2% & NAB down -1.1%
NEM  up 1.8%, JHX down -1.4%, NWS  up 0.1%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

Written on 30 January, 7:15am

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Stock Market Analysis: Aussie Market To Play Catch-up

Friday, January 27th, 2012

* US stock markets drift higher to levels not seen since mid last year.
* European stock markets climbed to 5-month highs overnight, as the US Federal Reserve said it would keep U.S. interest rates low until at least 2014.
* Many Asian stock markets are closed for the Lunar New Year holidays.
* Commodities prices traded mostly lower, as Gold prices lower to around $US1,668 and while crude-oil closed up around $US100.

The SPI Futures is trading above the key pivot level of 4180, ended down -0.3% (or -11 points) at 4,240. The key levels for our index today are 4150 to 4230.

The Australian share market continued to melt-up Wednesday, led by strong moves in the financials sector.  Investors remain optimistic, even though the negotiations over the Greek bailout have not been concluded and the US Fed reserve meet tonight.  Locally the case for a rate cut when the RBA board meets on 7th February, has been boosted by today’s CPI reading and some internet jobs figures.  The ABS reported that inflation was unchanged for the December quarter, following a 0.6 per cent rise in the third quarter of 2011. Seasonally adjusted CPI rose 0.2 per cent in the December quarter, and was up 3.0 per cent in the 12 months to December.  This is the reading is the lowest since the final three months of 2008 at the height of the GFC. In other news the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Indexes of Economic Activity forecast a modestly lower pace of economic activity in the next 3 to 9 months, as the index fell -0.2 percent in November, following a rise of 0.1 percent in October.  The Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations internet vacancy index fell by 3 per cent in December, was 84.1 points, 8.7 percent, lower in seasonally adjusted terms than in December 2010.  Shares in the All Ordinaries (XAO) traded higher today, closing up 1.0% at 4329, as the S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) closed up 1.1% at 4271.

Aussie shares are expected to play catch up today and traders are expected to continue to look for bargains today, after positive leads from the US and European markets.�

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

US Markets

US stock markats eased after an initial surge.  Investors had cheered the Federal Reserve’s pledge to hold down interest rates till 2014. 
 
The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached its highest level since May 2008 holding around 12,700, while in the broader market the S&P 500 held above 1300 and the Nasdaq outperformed aroud 2800. 
 
Profit takers stepped in after some disappointing economic data and corporate earnings reports.  Selling began after data showed sales of new homes unexpectedly fell 2.2% in December (versus expectation of a rise of 1.9%) and also the Conference Board’s leading economic index rose 0.4% in December (below estimates of a 0.7% rise).   In corporate news AT&T, E*Trade Financial, SanDisk, Logitech International and Colgate-Palmolive earnings disappointed.
 
However there was positive news with weekly jobless claims coming in-line with expectations, rising 21,000 to 377,000 and orders for long-lasting goods surging 3% in December (above estimates of 2%).  
 
All ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded down with the Materials down -0.2% , Financials sector down -1.0%, Energy sector was down -1.3%, Industrials sector was down -0.2%, Technology was down -0.8%,  while  Consumer Staples were down -0.6%.
 
The Dow Jones closed down -0.2% (or -22 points) at 12,734, the S&P 500 index down -0.6%  (or -8 points) at 1,318, the Nasdaq ended down -0.5% (or -13 points) at 2,805 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was down -0.3%.

European Markets

European stock markets climbed to 5-month highs overnight, as the US Federal Reserve said it would keep U.S. interest rates low until at least 2014.  The Stoxx 600 index gained 1.1%. 
 
Across the region banking and mining shares performed well in the back of the news from th US Fed.  Italian banck jumped over 5% and in  London banks rose around the same.  Resource stock surged with Kazakhmys up 7.8%, Rio Tinto rose 4.8% and Fresnillo was up 3.1%. 
 
Investors are still awaiting for news of progress in negotiations between Greece and its private creditors, as the parties resumed talks over the det crisis.  The Greek market jumped 4.4%, outperforming the rest of the eurozone, while the Italian market rose as the government sold EUR5 billion of 2-year debt at lower borrowing costs.
 
In London the FTSE 100 index closed up 1.2% (or 70 points) at 5793, the German DAX was up 1.8% (or 118 points) at 6,539 while in France the CAC was  up 1.5% (or 50 points)  at 3,363, Spain was up 1.2% and Italy ended up 1.2%.

Asian Markets

Many Asian stock markets are closed for the Lunar New Year holidays. 

Hong Kong stocks jumped though, as traders returned from a long Lunar New Year holiday to celebrate the Federal Reserve’s projection of ultra-low interest rates through late 2014. Japanese shares eased from a near three-month high as investors did some profit-taking, paricularly in the exporters, while in South Korea the Kospi eased on weaker-than-expected economic growth data.

In China the SSE Composite was closed at 2,319, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up 1.6% at 20,439 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed down -0.4% (or -34 points) at 8,850, South Korean KOSPI was up 0.2% for the session, while the Indian market up 0.5%.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was lower  at 79.41 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded higher at 1.0622. Commodities prices traded lhigher.

For the session the Benchmark crude NYMEX for January delivery was up 0.3% (or $US0.39) settle at $US99.79.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for January delivery was up 1.5% (or 6 cents) at $US3.8805.  January gold was dowup 1.6% (or $US26.50) at $US1,729.

ASX News Today

 
AIO – Asciano has restructured its Patrick ports division, resulting in a significant reshuffle of its executive team.
AGO – Atlas Iron managing director David Flanagan delivered downgraded production and export results for the December quarter and has cut its production targets for the financial year because of the impact of Tropical Cyclone Heidi, the MD Mr Flanagan says he is committed to building Atlas into an iron ore force in its own right.
ALS – Alesco Corporation  the building products distributor has more than tripled its first half profit but says trading conditions are tough and will continue to be so.
CPA – Commonwealth Property Office Fund expects its first-half profit to grow and has boosted its forecasts for distributions.
EPW – ERM Power has received the go-ahead to build a $500 million gas-fired power station west of Brisbane.
 
LYC – Lynas Corp is back, surging another 5% after reporting it has secured enough funds ($US225 million in unsecured convertible bonds) to complete construction and start-up of its delayed rare earths processing plant in Malaysia.    
WHC – Whitehaven Coal has increased production by two per cent in the December quarter, but sales have fallen.

 

Market Summary
ASX – to open higher
US & UK/Europe -mixed

Commodities Stock Index  down -0.6%
Gold Stocks Index up 0.7%
Oil Stocks Index down -1.6% 

US ADRs – Broadly Lower!!… 

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

 
For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Market Wrap: Market Melt-up Continues

Wednesday, January 25th, 2012

The Aussie market continues to melt-up, rising over 5 percent from the start of 2012, and volatility is contracting as investors appear to be comfortable with the current state of the market.

The bulls remain in control, and trading volumes have been steadily improving throughout the month. The US markets are set to have their best January since 1997, and their reporting season continues to beat expectations. Financials are having a particularly stellar run, and even home builders are joining in this bullish move and are up 50 percent in the past 3 months.

Globally investor sentiment has been boosted by successful eurozone bond auctions with borrowing costs pulling back, despite the recent S&P downgrade of eurozone nations and the EFSF bailout fund. However the views for 2012 growth from the World Bank and the IMF have been ratcheted down, with the IMF suggesting that if the eurozone does not resolve its debt issues, the global economy could be in for a “1930’s moment”.

Greece has been the focus in the eurozone this week. The European leaders and Greek bondholders are still in negotiations over the Greek bailout, where Greece has to write down the country’s debt by EUR100 billion. A resolution is essential, as Greece must repay EUR14.5 billion of maturing debt in March to avoid a default.

Commodities have had another good week with copper outperforming, up over 12%, and gold is up 7% for the year. Iron ore and energy stocks have also jumped into the New Year. Many Asian markets are closed this week for the Lunar New Year.

The Aussie market has once again found medium-term support around the 4000 level and appears to be setting up for a retest of the multi-month highs around 4350. This week we found support around the 4100 level and we are now trading above the 50 day moving average, which sits around 4150. Many of the S&P ASX sectors are looking to test their 150 day moving averages (MAs) near term, which could give some pause, as these levels have held prices in check for the past six months. The Telecoms and Utilities sectors are in sustained uptrends, while the Financials and Industrials sectors look set to break into a new uptrend.

The next dividend season begins in February, so you can look to boost your yields through options strategies. Last week we highlighted Toll Holdings for a dividend yield play and the stock is now up 10% in 5 days. The MDS Financial Advisory Services team can help with these trades. Call me on 1300 610 024 for further information. Investors should also be looking to utilise options strategies to protect their positions, as options are a relatively cheap form of insurance, given the falling volatility of late.

Remain attuned to the news from overseas, particularly from the eurozone, Greece and China in relation to easing policies, and the US with their earnings season. Monitor the performance of the US dollar for a guide to the future direction of commodities and equities prices.

The S&P/ASX 200 is melting up, with the index currently trading at 4254 and above the key pivot level around 4180. Key levels for the index next week will be 4180 and 4320, with 4230 the key pivot level.

By Michael Hevern
MDS Trading Desk

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a free trial of MDS Financial Research.

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