Posts Tagged ‘Trading Strategy’

The Stock Repair Strategy – Part 4 of Options Trading for All Types of Market Environments

Friday, September 9th, 2011

Part 4: The Stock Repair Strategy

The Stock Repair Strategy is the options trading strategy designed to “repair” a stock account that has suffered from capital loss due to a drop in price.

This strategy allows the loss to be recovered with a moderate rise in the price of that stock. For example, if you bought shares of AAA company and it has dropped significantly since you bought it, say 10%, you could use the Stock Repair Strategy to recover that 10% loss as long as AAA company stock rises about 5%. I’m sure “buy and hold” investors would have a number of likely candidates for this strategy in their portfolios.

The Stock Repair Strategy - is designed to use stock options, with limited risk, to quickly recover the loss from a drop in the share price.

Use the Stock Repair Strategy to recover losses in your stock position when that stock is expected to rise moderately. If you are of the opinion that the sell-off in a stock has finished and the stock is likely to bounce from current levels, then the Stock Repair Strategy can help you “repair” a stock account which has suffered from capital loss due to a drop in price, in double quick time.

The Stock Repair Strategy is achieved through buying 1 contract of at the money (ATM) call options for every 100 shares you own and then writing twice as many out of the money (OTM) call options at a strike price where the total proceeds cover (or nearly cover) the amount spent on the at the money (ATM) call options.
Therefore the Stock Repair Strategy does not cost anything to put on (apart from transaction fees of course) and requires no margin. This makes this strategy ideal for anyone who expects the stock price to recover near term and wishes to quickly recover losses sustained in a stock position.

Traders can use this strategy to double up their position with minimal risk and minimal cost. However any gains are capped to the upside at breakeven, so that you would exit the original position flat, and you do not get any protection on the downside. Having this position in place is an excellent way to quickly recuperate stock losses at no extra cost, if the stock rallies all the way to the strike price of the short call options.

Advantages and Disadvantages

The Stock Repair Strategy has its advantages as it can bring your stock position back up to breakeven, so as long as stock rises moderately. There are minimal costs to place the position and it requires no margin.
However it has the disadvantage of cutting profits at breakeven, so that no further profits can be obtained if the stock rallies beyond the strike price of the short OTM calls.

Example Trade – ANZ Bank

ANZ traded between $21.00 and $22.00 for over a month through to mid-June, and was trading on a grossed up yield of over 9 percent. If you had purchased the ANZ stock on a breakout you could be holding the stock at a cost of around $22.05. There have been some wild gyrations over the subsequent months, but for those “buy and hold” investors there is still hope: utilise the Stock Repair Strategy to recover losses in your stock when that stock is expected to rise moderately near-term.

The stock repair trade for ANZ was priced on September 7th 2011 when the October options had 48 days until expiry and ANZ shares were trading at $20.10.

Trade Details:
Buy 1 contract of at the money (ATM) 2000 Oct11 call options (for $0.96/contract) for every 100 shares you own and then write (sell) 2 of the 2100 OCT11 out of the money (OTM) call options (at $0.46/contract) for every 100 shares you own.

This trade costs 4 cents/contract to place and if you are exercised you will sell youf original share parcel at $22.00 (5 cents shy of the purchase price). Note cost calculations do not include associated transaction costs.

Chart ANZ Stock Repair Trade
Chart 1: ANZ Stock Repair Trade

ANZ Derivative Profiler

You can plan and analyse your trade as shown above, using the Derivative Profiler function in the Market Analyser software.

Trade Note

The Stock Repair strategy simply involves buying 1 contract of at the money (ATM) call options for every 100 shares owned and then writing twice as many out of the money (OTM) call options. The Stock Repair strategy costs next to nothing to put on and if the stock drops further, the ATM calls simply expire with the OTM calls, which completely offset each other, causing no additional losses to your original stock position. This strategy reaches its maximum profit potential when the stock price is equal to or greater than the strike price of the out of the money (OTM) options.

The goal of the ANZ trade is for ANZ to be trading above $21.00 at the October expiry, so that the position is repaired with minimal or no loss. Please note that ANZ is due to go Ex-div around 4 Nov’11 around $0.74 cents per share, so if the stock does not get exercised, then the dividend will offer some comfort.

Using the Stock Repair Strategy, the stock needs only move up by 5% to reach breakeven, however the stock could drop 10% and the position’s loss would be the same as if the Stock Repair Strategy was not implemented.

The Trade

Options can be used in order to reduce your risk while still participating in potential profits from a significant move by the underlying stock. Today we’ve explained the Stock Repair Strategy which allows you to “double down” on your current losing position for minimal cost, however your profits will be restricted to breakeven on the trade. Note this strategy does not offer any protection to the downside.

In future articles we will talk about the High Yield Covered Call strategy and the High Yield Covered Put strategy, which is particularly relevant to this market.

Utilise the features in the Market Analyser software to trade plan your options trades for the particular options strategy using your specific trade selection criteria. You will save time and potentially reduce your trading risk.

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

See Also:
Options Trading for All Types of Market Environments (Part 1): The Protective Put
Options Trading for All Types of Market Environments (Part 2):The Covered Call
Options Trading for All Types of Market Environments (Part 3):The Covered Call Collar

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a free trial of MDS Financial Research.

MDS Financial Advisory Services offers general advice on trading options to generate consistent steady income on your investment portfolio. Call 1300 610 024 for further information.

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The Protective Put – Part 1 of Options Trading for All Types of Market Environments

Friday, July 8th, 2011

Part 1 – The Protective Put

Options are a financial instrument that you can use for all types of market conditions, whether you’re hedging your stocks or looking to salvage a losing stock position.

Over the next weeks I’ll be covering a number of commonly used options trading strategies that you can execute without any margin requirement. Today we will look at the Protective Put.

Protective Put – it’s like buying insurance for your stock position

If you are of the view that a stock may start to recover but you still want some protection in case it continues to fall, you could use what is known as a “Protective Put” strategy in order to stop your position from making further losses. The Protective Put strategy simply involves buying 1 contract of put options for every 100 shares that you own, at a strike price below the level at which you do not want to own the stock.

The Protective Put options strategy not only protects your stock position if the price goes down further, it keeps the upside open so that if the stock turns around and rallies, you will not miss out on the move.

An example of a protective put situation would be News Corp. The stock is trading into resistance at the moment and if for some reason you did not want to sell your News Corp holdings, you could by a protective put.

News Corp - Options Trading with a Protective Put

If you bought the stock at $16.00, you could buy the Aug11 17.00 Put for $0.17.

This would protect your position down to $16.83 (= $17.00 -$0.17) thereby locking in profits on your position and protecting your downside risk at the same time.

This can be analysed using the Derivative Profiler option in the Market Analyser software.

Market Analyser - Derivatives Profiler

The Market Analyser software allows you to modify the prices to reflect the current price and provides Profit & Loss diagrams for your strategy.

If you are more convinced that the News Corp share price is about to fall then you should simply sell the stock and buy the put outright for far more superior returns, while only risking the premium you paid for the put.

The Trade

Options can be used to reduce your risk while participating in the profits from a significant move by the underlying stocks. The Protective Put is simply buying insurance for your stock position. In our next article we will talk about the Covered Calls for generating monthly “rental” income from your current stock position.

Utilise the features in Market Analyser to plan your options trades for the particular options strategy, using your specific trade selection criteria. You will save time and potentially reduce your trading risk.

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

MDS Financial Advisory Service offers general advice on trading options to generate consistent steady income on your investment portfolio. For further information please call 1300 610 024.

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Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy

Tuesday, June 23rd, 2009

Strategy Overview

Bollinger Bands were created by John Bollinger in the late 1980s to provide a reference for high and low points based on volatility.

The centre line of the bands is typically a 20 day simple moving average of the price showing the intermediate trend. The two bands are then plotted around this centre line by adding (top band) or subtracting (lower band) the standard deviation from the average. They are usually plotted as 2 standard deviations from the centre line.

Click here to download the PDF guide.

By Jeff Cartridge,
Education Manager

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Turtle Traders and Table Tennis

Wednesday, May 20th, 2009

Inside the Mind of the Turtles

Author: Curtis M. Faith

Book Review


This is the second installment on the famous Way of the Turtle Trader by Curtis M. Faith, but this time rather than talking about how the Turtle Traders went about making their money he is actually giving his own opinion on how your mind affects the decisions that you make when you are trading.

This book is for the true traders amongst you that have a trading plan and wish to further refine it by looking for flaws that could be caused by your mind rather than what you do and don t actually know.

I think the best way to gain an understanding of this book is by way of retelling one of the stories Curtis uses to describe how people handle pressure differently. Basically the Turtles had a table tennis table where they used to play during the quiet times in the market. One of the Turtles used to be a red hot table tennis player, who the rest of Turtles had trouble beating.

One day the Turtles Traders decided to have a tournament where they would all put in $50 and the winner and the second place getter would receive a prize. This in effect changed the game from one of fun to one which had a prize at the end.

To cut the story short the gun table tennis player came up short and lost, which in the opinion of Curtis was due to the pressure of having to play for a reward. This story was then compared to trading by explaining how this is consistent with what happens when traders move from paper trading to trading with real cash.

The book also explains the importance of establishing trading rules and how some things that seem really difficult at first become easier after they have been implemented a number of times.

Rating of 7.5 /10

This book was slightly better than the original and actually made reference to the events in the financial markets over the last 18 months.

Reviewed By Damian Isbister

To buy this book now at the Educated Investor Book Shop, click here.

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Turtle Traders made more than $31,500,000

Wednesday, April 15th, 2009

Way of the Turtle the Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders by Curtis M. Faith

This is a great book for those of you that don t know who the Turtle Traders were and how they went about making money trading basically everything.

A quick summary is that there were two traders who were very successful at trading Commodities. Richard Denis, William Eckhardt and Richard Dennis bet that they could teach the disciplines that were required in order take any person and turn them into a very successful trader.

This book details everything from how the turtles were selected, all the way through to the results they achieved along the way. Curtis M. Faith is the author of the book and he was one of the original and youngest of the turtles – so he’s well placed to write with authority on the workings of the group.

The book looks at the psychology of trading, the importance of having a plan and following it. There is a strong focus on probabilities and that is what the turtles were really relying on when setting their position size. The last chapter details the Turtle trading rules, so theoretically you could incorporate them into your trading plan. It also analyses the use of trading systems and what happens when they go wrong or are perceived to go wrong, and the effect of over tweaking.

As a bonus, the book is also written in such a way that it also makes for a good story!

I guess the best story relates to Chris talking about all the Turtles playing table tennis, as this was a way to see that even players with less skill could beat other players if they held their nerve and didn t allow pressure to affect their game.

The trading styles that are reference in the mostly in Chapter 10 are ATR Channel Breakout, Bollinger Breakout, Donchian Trend, Donchian Trend with Time Exit, Dual Moving Average and Triple Moving Average.

On a side note: for more information on Donchian Channel Jeff Cartridge our education manager has record a piece on implementing this strategy in MA, click here to check it out.

Rating: 7/10
The high score reflects the book’s ability to relate to your real life trading strategies.
Buy now at the Educated Investor Book Shop, click here.

Reviewed by Damian Isbister

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Old dog, new tricks – Protecting Profits

Wednesday, April 15th, 2009

With the big run up in the markets over the past three weeks (S&P500 up 20%) it may be time to protect those profits. Obviously the concern is that you may miss out on further upside if you sell out now, but at the same time you do not want to give back your hard earned and as yet unrealised profits.

To protect profits your options are:

  1. Sell stock holding now but will miss out on any price upside.
  2. Sell calls over your stock (covered call) limits upside and only gives limited protection to the downside.
  3. Buy puts (protective put) protection of unrealized profits at a cost.

Combination of the Above Options (The Collar Strategy)
There is an options strategy called a collar that is designed to protect your profits. The primary concern in employing a collar is protection of profits accrued from underlying shares rather than increasing returns on the upside.

A collar can be established by holding shares of an underlying stock, purchasing a protective put and writing a covered call on that stock. The option portions of this strategy are referred to as a combination.
The collar is an option strategy which combines a covered call with a protective put:

  1. Covered Call – In the covered call you agree to sell your stock at the call strike price. For this you receive a premium (at the time you sell the call). The drawback with this strategy is that you are limiting your profits to the level of the strike price of the sold call.
  2. Protective Put – With the protective put you are buying protection for your holdings. For this protection you pay out a premium, which gives you the right to sell your stock holdings at the put strike price.

Market View
The collar strategy is used when market view is Neutral, following a time of market appreciation.

Aim of Collar Strategy
An investor will employ this strategy after accruing unrealised profits from the underlying shares, and wants to protect these gains with the purchase of a protective put. At the same time, the investor is willing to sell his stock at a price higher than current market price so an out-of-the-money call contract is written, covered in this case by the underlying stock.

Advantages of Using the Collar
This strategy offers the stock protection of a put. However, in return for accepting a limited upside profit potential on his underlying shares (to the call strike price), the investor writes a call contract. Because the premium received from writing the call can offset the cost of the put the investor is obtaining downside put protection at a smaller net cost than the cost of the put alone. In some cases, depending on the strike prices and the expiration month chosen, the premium received from writing the call will be more than the cost of the put.

In other words, the combination can sometimes be established for a net credit – the investor receives cash for establishing the position. The investor keeps the cash credit regardless of the price of the underlying stock when the options expire. Until the investor either exercises his put and sells the underlying stock or is assigned an exercise notice on the written call and is obligated to sell his stock, all rights of stock ownership are retained.

Before Expiration – Roll/Close Position
The combination may be closed out as a unit just as it was established as a unit. To do this, the investor enters a combination order to buy a call with the same contract and sell a put with the same contract terms, paying a net debit or receiving a net cash credit as determined by current option prices in the marketplace.

Actions at expiration:

  1. If the underlying stock price is between the put and call strike prices when the options expire, the options will generally expire with no value. The investor will retain ownership of the underlying shares and can either sell them or hedge them again with new option contracts.
  2. If the stock price is below the put strike price as the options expire, the put will be in-the-money and have value, while the call option will expire worthless. The investor can elect to either sell the put before the close of the market on the option’s last trading day and receive cash, or exercise the put and sell the underlying shares at the put strike price.
  3. If the stock price is above the call strike price as the options expire, the sold call will be in-the-money and the investor can expect assignment to sell the underlying shares at the strike price, while the put option will expire worthless. Otherwise, if retaining ownership of the shares is now desired, the investor can close out the sold call position by purchasing a call with the same contract terms before the close of trading.

Worked Examples

1) April collar over Westpac (WBC)
You may trade a Collar over Westpac for April protected with a 1950 April Put and with profit limited with a 2050 April Call. There are three scenarios on exercise day:

i) Westpac trading above $20.50 on 23-Apr. This would provide an exercised return of 3.2%.

ii) Westpac trading below $19.50 on 23-Apr. This would result in an exercised loss of 3.2%.

iii) Westpac trading between $19.50 and $20.50 on 23-Apr. The protection would have cost you 2.0% and you can open a new collar for May (noting XDIV due in May).

Therefore you can expect returns (with your position protected for 23 days) of between 3.2% and a loss of 3.2% depending on the stock price on the exercise day (see the payoff diagram below).

Table: Returns for an April collar over WBC.

Figure: Payoff Diagram for an April collar over WBC (Source Market Analyser).

2) May collar over Westpac (WBC)

You may trade a Collar over Westpac for May protected with a 1950 May Put and with profit limited with a 2050 May Call. There are three scenarios on exercise day:

iv) Westpac trading above $20.50 on 23-Apr. This would provide an exercised return of 0.1% (excluding dividends).
v) Westpac trading below $19.50 on 23-Apr. This would result in an exercised loss of 7.7% excluding dividends).
vi) Westpac trading between $19.50 and $20.50 on 23-Apr. The protection would have cost you 5.1% and you can open a new collar for June (excluding dividends).

Therefore you can expect returns excluding dividends (with your position protected for 58 days) of between 0.1% and a loss of 7.7% depending on the stock price on the exercise day (see the payoff diagram below). Refer to the next section showing the impact of the dividend.

Table: Returns for a May collar over WBC (excluding dividend).

Figure: Payoff Diagram for a May collar over WBC (Source Market Analyser).

3) May collar over Westpac (WBC) – Sweetener Upcoming Dividend Season

Table: Returns for a May collar over WBC (including dividend).

Note: Assumption for dividend is for XDIV at 19-May-09 of 55 cents.

You may trade a Collar over Westpac for May protected with a 1950 May Put and with profit limited with a 2050 May Call. The three scenarios on exercise day are the same as before, however returns improve considerably when you include dividend.

You can expect returns including dividends (with your position protected for 58 days) of between 2.9% and a loss of 4.9% depending on the stock price on the exercise day (see the payoff diagram below).

Conclusion
The Collar Options strategy provides you with protection at a price, but if you have significant unrealised gains or want to take advantage of the upcoming dividend season this strategy can provide you with a limited risk way of holding stock positions in this volatile market environment.

By Michael Hevern

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Message From The Chief – February 2009

Wednesday, February 18th, 2009

Guaranteed 150% and a Trading Strategy Explained.

  • Online Trading Site Launched
  • Great Results From MDS Financial Research Recommendations
  • How I would Invest 50k
    • Guaranteed 150% return
    • Trading Strategy Explained Security Purchase Plans

Online Trading Site Launched
Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of MDS Financial Reflections.

This month has been very exciting for MDS Financial and for particularly our online trading division. Trader Dealer Online launched its new website and pricing strategy, and introduced the new Market Analyser – Gold Edition software, which you can now use to place trades directly with Trader Dealer.

Check out our new Trader Dealer web site here.

Great Results from the MDS Financial Research Team

Our Research guys have also had an absolutely awesome month with three trades that particularly stand out.

The first is the once-much loved but now less so RIO, which was entered on January 30th at 40.08 and exited only 6 days later at $47.50 for a profit of $7.42 or 18.51%.

You can t talk about RIO without discussing BHP and it just so happens that BHP was another very good performer for us this month. This trade was entered on January 16th at $29.62 and exited on February 2nd at $33.34 for a profit of $3.72 or 12.56% .

The third top performer for the month is Caltex (CTX), a still-open position which was entered on February 10th and is currently up over 95 cents.

If you wish to see the results for yourself, and view other current recommendations, click here to sign up for a free trial.

How I Would Invest $50,000?

Last month I was writing about Fund Managers and their continued under-performance of the index and the fact that the best performing fund manager delivered a return of NEGATIVE 34.6%.

So now it s time for me to put my money where my mouth is and create a brief investment plan for a person with $50,000.

Before I jump straight into the trading strategy, I have drawn on my past life experiences as a financial planner. After researching some new Australian government rules I have found a few rippers that in my opinion, no new investor ought to pass up.

In my mind there are three considerations:

  • can you take advantage of any available government bonuses?
  • what is the most effective tax minimisation strategy
  • how to find an effective trading strategy

Guaranteed 150% return

The government has a provided a way for you to earn 150% on your savings and it is called Super co-contributions. If you are eligible, both members of a couple should make the contribution. Find out the requirements on the ATO website here.

ATO Rebate

Than there is the spouse contribution tax offset worth up to $540 per year. This has tougher rules to comply with than the co-contribution but it is worth considering if only one spouse is working full time. The eligibility criteria is outlined on the ATO website here.

Who should own what?

Probably the biggest mistake most people make when they start investing is to not correctly which entity through which they invest their savings. It is important to consider the most tax effective manner but some thought should also be given to asset protection.

Here s an example of effective tax minimisation for an investor wishing to invest $50,000 in the share market. The first thing they do is contribute to your home loan as a lump sum withdrawal and then establish a line of credit against your house to redraw the 50k as an investment loan. As this loan is going to be used for investment purposes it could be considered to be tax deductible.

I would recommend anybody starting out in investing contact their financial advisor BEFORE making any decisions.


Trading Strategy Explained Security Purchase Plans

Ok, so with those preliminary decisions out of the way what is the first trading strategy I would consider for a $50,000 portfolio?

Let s take $11,000 of your portfolio and invest in a strategy call Security Purchase Plans (SPP), also referred to as Share Purchase Plans.

SPPs are ideally designed to reward existing long-term share holders with what are normally discounted shares. Companies benefit because they don t have to prepare a Product Disclosure Statement. Individual shareholders benefit by having access to new shares at a discount to the current share price.

The maximum a company is able to issue under a share purchase plan is $5,000 in stock, you have to be an existing shareholder, and the minimum amount of stock you are able to buy is $500.

So if you opened a trading account, found a company offering a SPP and bought shares before the offer s close date, you would be eligible for the SPP.

At this point you should note the price and if the stock is currently trading below the offer price you should NOT take up the offer. You could even sell all but one share.

If the current price is at least 5% above the SPP price than you should complete your paper work and take up the company s offer of $5,000 in stock.

Take note of the date and time that the stock will be issued to your account, as this is when you may want to sell your newly acquired stock.

A few points to look out for when considering a SPP:

    If the offer is under written then it is likely to be a good offer, as it has institutional support;

  • If the company is within the ASX200 this is also likely to hold its price as SPPs are not something that institutions are able to participate in due to their size;
  • Ensure that when you are entering the position it is trading an average daily volume of more than $250k.
  • Selling all but 1 share is a good way to participate in future SPPs for little expense, as generally companies do not pro rata their offers.

An example:

Blue Scope Steel (BSL)
BSL announced their intention to conduct a SPP within their Institutional Placement announcement on the 11th of December 2008, at which time their stock was trading at Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) of $3.09. To secure your position in future SPPs you would take up $500 worth of stock or 162 shares.

A notice was than issued on the 16th of January 2009 stating BSL s intention to offer a SPP to shareholders. The offer closed on February 6th, this would be the last date by which you would have to have the cheque in. With the stock trading in the mid $3.30s in the days before closing you would have accepted the offer.

You would have been issued the stock at $3.10 meaning you get another 1,612 shares, giving you a grand total of 1,774 shares at an average price of $3.10. You could then have sold these for $3.33 and your total profit on this transaction would have been $408.02.

SPP which are currently in play are TAN and NCM. It is too late to enter these trades now however, but you can watch how they play out from a profit perspective.
I hope that you can see that while this strategy doesn t make massive profits it does make consistent low risk profits.

My apologies for such a long post but I hope you find it useful and profitable. If you would like to leave a comment regarding your experience with SPP s I would love to hear about it.

Damian Isbister

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